Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.003691 0.004039 0.004411 0.004840 0.005321 0.005847 0.006465
2025-12-07 0.003188 0.003692 0.004270 0.004988 0.005860 0.006895 0.008227
2025-12-14 0.002800 0.003364 0.004040 0.004922 0.006055 0.007478 0.009433
2025-12-21 0.002503 0.003091 0.003824 0.004817 0.006148 0.007903 0.010446
2025-12-28 0.002291 0.002897 0.003675 0.004764 0.006282 0.008370 0.011545
2026-01-04 0.002149 0.002776 0.003602 0.004796 0.006520 0.008987 0.012919
2026-01-11 0.001996 0.002625 0.003474 0.004733 0.006606 0.009382 0.013997
2026-01-18 0.001872 0.002502 0.003371 0.004690 0.006711 0.009806 0.015161
2026-01-25 0.001758 0.002384 0.003264 0.004630 0.006777 0.010169 0.016261
2026-02-01 0.001677 0.002307 0.003208 0.004640 0.006949 0.010712 0.017735
2026-02-08 0.001586 0.002209 0.003115 0.004581 0.007002 0.011057 0.018894
2026-02-15 0.001496 0.002107 0.003008 0.004492 0.006995 0.011295 0.019878
2026-02-22 0.001442 0.002059 0.002985 0.004543 0.007241 0.012027 0.021988
2026-03-01 0.001410 0.002043 0.003012 0.004680 0.007653 0.013118 0.025035
2026-03-08 0.001339 0.001960 0.002927 0.004620 0.007704 0.013531 0.026717
2026-03-15 0.001265 0.001871 0.002825 0.004522 0.007676 0.013785 0.028084
2026-03-22 0.001208 0.001804 0.002754 0.004473 0.007734 0.014216 0.029938
2026-03-29 0.001170 0.001766 0.002730 0.004503 0.007944 0.014984 0.032756
2026-04-05 0.001119 0.001703 0.002659 0.004445 0.007973 0.015370 0.034684
2026-04-12 0.001074 0.001649 0.002602 0.004405 0.008036 0.015836 0.036923
2026-04-19 0.001030 0.001594 0.002538 0.004349 0.008060 0.016215 0.039001
2026-04-26 0.001000 0.001561 0.002510 0.004358 0.008221 0.016929 0.042195
2026-05-03 0.000961 0.001511 0.002451 0.004304 0.008239 0.017308 0.044480